Page 8 - Transitions in Indian Electricity Sector- A Report by TERI
P. 8
TRANSITIONS IN INDIAN E LECTRICITY SECTOR 2017–2030
an ‘article of faith’ by the government Exhibit 1.2: Growth of Electricity Generation-Sourcewise
and quantum jump in capacity addition
in renewable energy sources in the next 1,400
decade is likely to significantly alter the 1,200
energy mix. This would also impact the Electricity Generation (BU) 1,000
operation of coal-based power plants, 800
which currently contribute to bulk of
the power requirement in the country. 600
The tightening of environmental norms 400
is also a factor to be reckoned with. 200
1.5 The development strategy for the -
future should consider these radical
changes taking place on the demand
and supply side as well as the market Hydro Thermal (including Steam, gas & Diesel) Nuclear RES
requirements. Realistic forecast of
demand considering the changes in Source: - CEA General Reviews
consumer behaviour, impact of GDP on
demand growth, etc., would be a primary and important requirement for this. It will also be necessary to factor
in the pattern of generation availability from different resources, the flexibility in their operation, etc. In the long-
term perspective, one would also have to look at the technological improvements taking place on the power
generation front, developments in storage technologies that could increase the despatchability of variable
energy resources and effective load management techniques. Such an exhaustive study would no doubt require
integrated and dynamic planning through appropriate modelling frameworks. The present report is an initial step in
this direction.
1.6 In Section 2, an analysis of the demand and various influencing factors has been carried out in different sectors
at All India level as well as for a few states. The supply side scenario and the likely contribution from different
fuel types to meet the projected demand based on energy balance studies has been worked out in Section 3.
The study covers two stylised scenarios, a High Renewables Scenario and a Low Renewables Scenario. The
major findings and recommendations based on the study are presented in Section 4.
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an ‘article of faith’ by the government Exhibit 1.2: Growth of Electricity Generation-Sourcewise
and quantum jump in capacity addition
in renewable energy sources in the next 1,400
decade is likely to significantly alter the 1,200
energy mix. This would also impact the Electricity Generation (BU) 1,000
operation of coal-based power plants, 800
which currently contribute to bulk of
the power requirement in the country. 600
The tightening of environmental norms 400
is also a factor to be reckoned with. 200
1.5 The development strategy for the -
future should consider these radical
changes taking place on the demand
and supply side as well as the market Hydro Thermal (including Steam, gas & Diesel) Nuclear RES
requirements. Realistic forecast of
demand considering the changes in Source: - CEA General Reviews
consumer behaviour, impact of GDP on
demand growth, etc., would be a primary and important requirement for this. It will also be necessary to factor
in the pattern of generation availability from different resources, the flexibility in their operation, etc. In the long-
term perspective, one would also have to look at the technological improvements taking place on the power
generation front, developments in storage technologies that could increase the despatchability of variable
energy resources and effective load management techniques. Such an exhaustive study would no doubt require
integrated and dynamic planning through appropriate modelling frameworks. The present report is an initial step in
this direction.
1.6 In Section 2, an analysis of the demand and various influencing factors has been carried out in different sectors
at All India level as well as for a few states. The supply side scenario and the likely contribution from different
fuel types to meet the projected demand based on energy balance studies has been worked out in Section 3.
The study covers two stylised scenarios, a High Renewables Scenario and a Low Renewables Scenario. The
major findings and recommendations based on the study are presented in Section 4.
|8|
